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Matt Schwachofer
Co-founder The Casino Wizard

Date published

13 May 2025

Last updated

16 May 2025

Avoid These Rookie Mistakes: 11 Expert Bettors Share Their Best Advice

Avoid These Rookie Mistakes: 11 Expert Bettors Share Their Best Advice

8 Costly Mistakes New Bettors Make — According to the Experts

What’s one mistake that costs beginners the most money in sports betting? We asked 11 top analysts and pro bettors to share the rookie mistakes they see again and again, and how to avoid them.

The answers? Brutally honest, highly actionable, and rooted in years of real betting experience. If you’re serious about improving your gambling strategies and avoiding the most common bankroll-killing mistakes, this is for you. Let’s break it down.

1. Chasing Losses

Two respected analysts say this is the most costly rookie error.

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Pamela Maldonado, Betting Analyst at ESPN (@pamelam35)

One of the biggest mistakes I see beginners make is getting caught up in chasing losses. It’s easy to feel like you need to win it all back right away, but that mindset usually leads to even bigger losses. The key is to stick to your process, even when it feels like nothing is going your way. Take a step back, reevaluate, and remember that discipline is more important than getting even. Think about the long game.

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Kyle Hunter, Sports Handicapper at huntersportspicks.com (@KyleHunterPicks)

A very common mistake I see is chasing losses. Do your handicapping for the day and make your bets. If you are 0-3 for the day, take your losses and live to fight another day. Adding a 4th bet and going big to try to get back those losses is a recipe for disaster.

2. Betting With Emotion, Not Logic

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Josh Appelbaum, host of the All Systems Go Podcast and author of the Everything Guide to Sports Betting and NFL Sharp Betting Playbook (@Josh_Insights)

The biggest mistake new bettors make is betting with their heart and not their head. This means betting based on bias, gut instinct and favoritism and ignoring what the betting market is saying. The easiest way to correct this is to focus on lines, not teams. Pay attention to what a line opened at, which direction it moved and look to bet against the masses using bet splits.

3. Poor Bankroll Management

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Chris the Capo, Risk Investor and Host of the ChrisBeCappinn Show (@ChrisBeCappinn)

I think the biggest common mistake I see is mismanagement of bankroll. So often new bettors don’t understand allocating smaller percentage of their bankroll to make bets. Instead, uploading funds then losing and having to continuously repeat that process. Not having a good hand on funds spent is sports betting malpractice.

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Paul Krishnamurty, professional gambler and betting industry professional(@paulmotty)

The most common mistake, and this doesn't only apply to beginners, is failure to stick to a consistent staking plan. Always grade your bets then measure over a pre-determined period. Only after that period has been measured should you consider changing the plan.

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Matt Schwachofer, Co-Founder The Casino Wizard (@thecasinowizard)

One of the biggest mistakes beginner bettors make is thinking that finding +EV bets is all it takes to win. In reality, you can lose by either betting on -EV plays or by risking too much on +EV ones. Without solid bankroll management and an understanding of variance, even sharp bettors can go broke. It’s not just about expected value, it's about expected growth.

4. Relying on Parlays as a Core Strategy

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Tyler Shoemaker, Creator of the T Shoe Index and Betting Analyst at VSiN (@TShoeIndex)

I think the most obvious one is making parlays (especially 4+ legs) their main betting strategy. That just isn’t a sustainable strategy. Straight bets have to be your go-to, and if you throw in a (fraction of a unit) parlay for fun sometimes, that’s ok!

5. No Clear Goal Beyond “Winning Big”

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Pat Mayo, Pat Mayo Experience (@ThePME)

The biggest mistake first time bettors make is not having a goal outside winning ALL THE MONEY. Jamming $25 parlays for thousands of dollars is fun, but all it leads to is frequent deposits. Setting long term goals for what you want to accomplish leads to better bankroll management, and while you may not win ALL THE MONEY by doing so, you certainly lose a lot less.

6. Thinking Sports Knowledge = Betting Edge

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Nate Hornung, Betting Analyst for Betting News (@Shaggy_Bets)

The most common mistake I see beginner bettors make is thinking their 'sports brain' is enough to win at sports betting, which in turn leads them to betting more than they can afford to lose. I got into this industry with that mindset and was quickly humbled by the complexity of this game.

There’s so much more than just pulling stats. There’s line reading, line shopping, beating the market, checking betting splits, sniffing out narratives and plenty of other factors that determine the outcome of a game. Some of the best sports bettors in the world don’t have an athletic bone in their body, and might not even watch the games.

However, they understand this is a long term process. You have to be disciplined and level headed in order to last, and quite frankly a lot of new bettors aren’t emotionally mature enough to handle the ups and downs.


This game, like life in general, is all about growth. You don’t have to have it all figured out right away, you just need to be 1% better than yesterday, every single day.

7. Ignoring the Price (Odds)

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Billy Collins, YouTuber (@C0llins_Billy)

One common mistake is that beginners focus more on the pick than the price.

8. Overloading Bets Across Too Many Markets

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Timmy Lewis, Betting PRO & YouTuber (@Timmyofdelta)

One common mistake beginner bettors make is trying to pick too much selections from different markets. If you want to win weekly regularly as a beginner bettor then you must maximize your picks and have a target selection number.

Wrap-Up: How to Avoid These Rookie Betting Mistakes

If you’re just getting started in sports betting (or struggling to stay profitable), here’s what the pros agree on:

  1. Stick to straight bets
  2. Don't chase losses
  3. Track your bankroll and units
  4. Focus on the odds, not the picks
  5. Bet with logic, not emotion.

The edge isn’t emotion, it’s discipline. Bet smarter.

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About the author

Matt Schwachofer

Matt Schwachofer

Co-founder The Casino Wizard

Matt Schwachofer

Co-founder The Casino Wizard

Matt is a co-founder of The Casino Wizard and a long-time online casino enthusiast, visiting his first online casino in 2003. He's been a poker fan for most of his adult life, and a player for over 20 years. Matt has attended more than 10 iGaming conferences across the world, played in more than 200 casinos, and tested more than 900 games. His knowledge of the online casino world makes him an unshakable pillar of The Casino Wizard. 

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